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Table 3 Model parameters including the model coefficient and its confidence intervals for various count models used in prediction of KFD cases in Goa 2015–2018

From: Geospatial clustering, seasonal trend and forecasting of Kyasanur Forest Disease in the state of Goa, India, 2015–2018

Model

Co-efficient

Log-likelihood

AIC

BIC

Poisson

− 0.027 (− 0.03 to − 0.02)

− 607.90

1219.74

223.48

Negative log binomial

− 0.048 (− 0.11 to 0.016)

− 120.36

246.71

252.32

Zero-inflated negative binomial

− 0.057 (− 0.10 to − 0.02)

− 88.04

186.10

195.40